← Explore · Market KXMLBDEBUT-VLACKEY-30AUG01
Will Vahn Lackey play in a game for any team in the MLB before Aug 1, 2030?
91.0% implied · bid 89.0¢ · ask 93.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 90.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 4.0¢ spread.
Implied probability90.0%
Bid / ask / mid89.0¢ / 93.0¢ / 91.0¢
Spread4.0¢ (4.4%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-0.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 31/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 32% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$176 / $1,271
Imbalance32% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score30.7 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 42 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 4.3σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean-4.32
RSI (14, hourly)41.7
Realized vol 7d0.47pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 1884d 6h.
Time to resolve1884d 6h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%