← Explore · Market KXMLBDEBUT-VLACKEY-31NOV01
Will Vahn Lackey play in a game for any team in the MLB before Nov 1, 2031?
92.5% implied · bid 91.0¢ · ask 94.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 91.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 3.0¢ spread.
Implied probability91.0%
Bid / ask / mid91.0¢ / 94.0¢ / 92.5¢
Spread3.0¢ (3.2%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+0.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 36/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 32% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$182 / $1,087
Imbalance32% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score35.6 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.0σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.04
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d16.10pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 1884d 6h.
Time to resolve1884d 6h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%