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← Explore · Market KXMOONMAN-31-I

Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?

1.4% implied · bid 1.3¢ · ask 1.4¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 1.4%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability1.4%
Bid / ask / mid1.3¢ / 1.4¢ / 1.4¢
Spread0.1¢ (7.4%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-2.75pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$61 / $25
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score49.5 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.7σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.67
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d0.94pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 1580d 7h.

Time to resolve1580d 7h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth