← Explore · Market KXMOONMAN-31-PRC

Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?

29.8% implied · bid 28.0¢ · ask 31.6¢

The market prices this at 31.6%, up 1.8pt over 24h, on a 3.6¢ spread.

Implied probability31.6%

Bid / ask / mid28.0¢ / 31.6¢ / 29.8¢

Spread3.6¢ (12.1%)

Change 24h+1.75pt

Change 7d-9.85pt

Thin (score 32/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$105

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$220 / $25

Imbalance1% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score32.1 / 100

RSI 49 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.2σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.22

RSI (14, hourly)48.6

Realized vol 7d1.80pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 1580d 7h.

Time to resolve1580d 7h

Resolution sourcemanual-review

Sum of outcomes100.0%