← Explore · Market KXMOONMAN-31-R
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
1.0% implied · bid 0.2¢ · ask 1.9¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 0.3%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.7¢ spread.
Implied probability0.3%
Bid / ask / mid0.2¢ / 1.9¢ / 1.0¢
Spread1.7¢ (161.9%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-0.40pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 42/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$10 / $33
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score41.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 48 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 3.8σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean-3.80
RSI (14, hourly)47.5
Realized vol 7d0.27pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 1580d 7h.
Time to resolve1580d 7h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%