← Explore · Market KXMOONMAN-31-USA
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
52.1% implied · bid 52.0¢ · ask 52.2¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 52.0%, down 1.1pt over 24h, on a 0.2¢ spread.
Implied probability52.0%
Bid / ask / mid52.0¢ / 52.2¢ / 52.1¢
Spread0.2¢ (0.4%)
Change 24h-1.15pt
Change 7d-1.90pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 49/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 5% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$35
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$168 / $261
Imbalance5% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score49.2 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 43 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.8σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.76
RSI (14, hourly)43.3
Realized vol 7d1.53pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 1580d 7h.
Time to resolve1580d 7h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%