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← Explore · Kalshi · Market KXMOVIERELEASEDATE-007-27JUL01

Will the next James Bond be released in the USA before Jul 1, 2027?

27.5% implied · bid 24.0¢ · ask 31.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 11.0%, up 0.5pt over 24h, on a 7.0¢ spread.

Implied probability11.0%
Bid / ask / mid24.0¢ / 31.0¢ / 27.5¢
Spread7.0¢ (25.5%)
Change 24h+0.50pt
Change 7d+14.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 15/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 4% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$24 / $62
Imbalance4% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score15.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 11 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.2σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.18
RSI (14, hourly)11.1
Realized vol 7d5.54pt
Change 1h+1.50pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 1214d 5h.

Time to resolve1214d 5h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth