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← Explore · Market KXMOVIERELEASEDATE-007-28JUL01

Will the next James Bond be released in the USA before Jul 1, 2028?

46.0% implied · bid 42.0¢ · ask 50.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 46.0%, flat over 24h, on a 8.0¢ spread.

Implied probability46.0%
Bid / ask / mid42.0¢ / 50.0¢ / 46.0¢
Spread8.0¢ (17.4%)
Change 24hn/a
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 10/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 13% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$43 / $50
Imbalance13% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score10.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.00
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.00pt
Change 1hn/a

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 1215d 6h.

Time to resolve1215d 6h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

No price history yet.

Probability timeline

No history yet.

Order-book depth