← Explore · Market KXMOVIERELEASEDATE-AUS-28JUL01
Will a fourth Austin Powers movie be released United States before Jul 1, 2028?
42.5% implied · bid 39.0¢ · ask 46.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 47.0%, up 3.0pt over 24h, on a 7.0¢ spread.
Implied probability47.0%
Bid / ask / mid39.0¢ / 46.0¢ / 42.5¢
Spread7.0¢ (16.5%)
Change 24h+3.00pt
Change 7d+0.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 15/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 13% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$40 / $46
Imbalance13% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score15.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.1σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.05
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d5.06pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 1215d 6h.
Time to resolve1215d 6h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%