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← Explore · Market KXMOVIERELEASEDATE-AUS-29JUL01

Will a fourth Austin Powers movie be released United States before Jul 1, 2029?

70.5% implied · bid 67.0¢ · ask 74.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 74.0%, up 22.0pt over 24h, on a 7.0¢ spread.

Implied probability74.0%
Bid / ask / mid67.0¢ / 74.0¢ / 70.5¢
Spread7.0¢ (9.9%)
Change 24h+22.00pt
Change 7d+0.50pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 15/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 21% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$69 / $74
Imbalance21% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score15.1 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.8σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.83
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d10.90pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 1215d 6h.

Time to resolve1215d 6h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth