← Explore · Market KXMOVIERELEASEDATE-AUS-30JAN01
Will a fourth Austin Powers movie be released United States before Jan 1, 2030?
79.5% implied · bid 76.0¢ · ask 83.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 84.0%, up 30.5pt over 24h, on a 7.0¢ spread.
Implied probability84.0%
Bid / ask / mid76.0¢ / 83.0¢ / 79.5¢
Spread7.0¢ (8.8%)
Change 24h+30.50pt
Change 7d+0.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 15/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 31% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$79 / $83
Imbalance31% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score15.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.8σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.84
RSI (14, hourly)49.8
Realized vol 7d13.79pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 1215d 6h.
Time to resolve1215d 6h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%