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← Explore · Market KXNCAAFCOACHLEAVE-26BBEL-010128

Bill Belichick out before Jan 1, 2028

70.5% implied · bid 68.0¢ · ask 73.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 70.5%, up 0.5pt over 24h, on a 5.0¢ spread.

Implied probability70.5%
Bid / ask / mid68.0¢ / 73.0¢ / 70.5¢
Spread5.0¢ (7.1%)
Change 24h+0.50pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 27/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 43% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2,114 / $1,917
Imbalance43% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score27.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.4σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.42
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d4.07pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 1579d 7h.

Time to resolve1579d 7h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth