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← Explore · Market KXNCAAFCOACHLEAVE-26BBEL-020127

Bill Belichick out before Feb 1, 2027

41.5% implied · bid 39.0¢ · ask 44.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 45.0%, down 1.0pt over 24h, on a 5.0¢ spread.

Implied probability45.0%
Bid / ask / mid39.0¢ / 44.0¢ / 41.5¢
Spread5.0¢ (12.0%)
Change 24h-1.00pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 26/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 12% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$107 / $1,115
Imbalance12% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score25.6 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.7σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.67
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d3.47pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 1579d 7h.

Time to resolve1579d 7h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth