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← Explore · Market KXNCAAFCOACHLEAVE-26BBEL-120126

Bill Belichick out before Dec 1, 2026

20.5% implied · bid 20.0¢ · ask 21.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 22.0%, down 1.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability22.0%
Bid / ask / mid20.0¢ / 21.0¢ / 20.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (4.9%)
Change 24h-1.00pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 10% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$557
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$133 / $862
Imbalance10% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.5 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 47 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.1σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.13
RSI (14, hourly)47.1
Realized vol 7d5.24pt
Change 1h-0.50pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 1579d 7h.

Time to resolve1579d 7h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth