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← Explore · Market KXNCAAFTFUT-30NDSU-Y

Will North Dakota St. qualify for the CFP after Issuance and before the 2030-31 season?

23.0% implied · bid 21.0¢ · ask 25.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 25.0%, up 5.5pt over 24h, on a 4.0¢ spread.

Implied probability25.0%
Bid / ask / mid21.0¢ / 25.0¢ / 23.0¢
Spread4.0¢ (17.4%)
Change 24h+5.50pt
Change 7d+6.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 30/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 11% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$702
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$117 / $53
Imbalance11% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score30.1 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 74 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 5.4σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean5.38
RSI (14, hourly)73.9
Realized vol 7d0.63pt
Change 1h-2.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 1215d 7h.

Time to resolve1215d 7h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth