← Explore · Market KXNEWPOPE-70-LANT
Who will the next Pope be?
4.8% implied · bid 4.2¢ · ask 5.3¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 4.2%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.1¢ spread.
Implied probability4.2%
Bid / ask / mid4.2¢ / 5.3¢ / 4.8¢
Spread1.1¢ (23.2%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-0.55pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$98 / $135
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score44.6 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 41 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.7σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean-2.68
RSI (14, hourly)40.7
Realized vol 7d0.31pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 15825d 7h.
Time to resolve15825d 7h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%