← Explore · Market KXNEWPOPE-70-MZUP
Who will the next Pope be?
3.1% implied · bid 2.4¢ · ask 3.8¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 3.8%, up 1.4pt over 24h, on a 1.4¢ spread.
Implied probability3.8%
Bid / ask / mid2.4¢ / 3.8¢ / 3.1¢
Spread1.4¢ (45.2%)
Change 24h+1.40pt
Change 7d+1.40pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 43/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$4
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$78 / $82
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score43.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.00
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.00pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 15825d 7h.
Time to resolve15825d 7h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%