← Explore · Market KXNEWPOPE-70-PPAR
Who will the next Pope be?
4.6% implied · bid 4.2¢ · ask 5.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 5.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 0.8¢ spread.
Implied probability5.0%
Bid / ask / mid4.2¢ / 5.0¢ / 4.6¢
Spread0.8¢ (17.4%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+0.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$4
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$74 / $136
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score46.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 4.6σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean4.64
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.12pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 15825d 7h.
Time to resolve15825d 7h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%