← Explore · Market KXNEWPOPE-70-PPIZ
Who will the next Pope be?
3.8% implied · bid 3.0¢ · ask 4.5¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 4.5%, up 1.5pt over 24h, on a 1.5¢ spread.
Implied probability4.5%
Bid / ask / mid3.0¢ / 4.5¢ / 3.8¢
Spread1.5¢ (40.0%)
Change 24h+1.50pt
Change 7d+0.75pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 43/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$4
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$87 / $67
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score42.6 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 52 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.7σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.66
RSI (14, hourly)52.0
Realized vol 7d0.60pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 15825d 7h.
Time to resolve15825d 7h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%