← Explore · Market KXNEXTATLFED-30JAN01-MFAU
Will Michael Faulkender be the next President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta before Jan 1, 2030?
40.0% implied · bid 36.0¢ · ask 44.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 40.0%, down 9.0pt over 24h, on a 8.0¢ spread.
Implied probability40.0%
Bid / ask / mid36.0¢ / 44.0¢ / 40.0¢
Spread8.0¢ (20.0%)
Change 24h-9.00pt
Change 7d+0.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 10/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 11% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$180 / $220
Imbalance11% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score10.2 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 51 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.3σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.26
RSI (14, hourly)51.1
Realized vol 7d2.17pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 1222d 6h.
Time to resolve1222d 6h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%