a Refacto tool
AdvertisementYour banner here · 728 × 90 · ads@refacto.app

← Explore · Market KXNEXTATLFED-30JAN01-MSUM

Will Marc Sumerlin be the next President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta before Jan 1, 2030?

23.0% implied · bid 19.0¢ · ask 27.0¢

☆ Log in to track

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 23.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 8.0¢ spread.

Implied probability23.0%
Bid / ask / mid19.0¢ / 27.0¢ / 23.0¢
Spread8.0¢ (34.8%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+0.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 10/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 2% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$95 / $135
Imbalance2% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score10.1 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.3σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.32
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d6.23pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 1222d 7h.

Time to resolve1222d 7h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth