← Explore · Market KXNEXTDNCCHAIR-45-MOMA

Will Martin O’Malley be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?

13.5% implied · bid 9.0¢ · ask 18.0¢

The market prices this at 17.0%, down 25.1pt over 24h, on a 9.0¢ spread.

Implied probability17.0%

Bid / ask / mid9.0¢ / 18.0¢ / 13.5¢

Spread9.0¢ (66.7%)

Change 24h-25.10pt

Change 7d-0.10pt

Thin (score 5/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 3% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$18 / $36

Imbalance3% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score5.0 / 100

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.5σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.46

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d7.79pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 6701d 6h.

Time to resolve6701d 6h

Resolution sourcemanual-review

Sum of outcomes100.0%