← Explore · Market KXNEXTDNCCHAIR-45-REMA

Will Rahm Emanuel be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?

4.9% implied · bid 1.1¢ · ask 8.7¢

The market prices this at 8.6%, down 0.7pt over 24h, on a 7.6¢ spread.

Implied probability8.6%

Bid / ask / mid1.1¢ / 8.7¢ / 4.9¢

Spread7.6¢ (155.1%)

Change 24h-0.65pt

Change 7d+3.90pt

Thin (score 12/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $17

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score12.0 / 100

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 5.3σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean5.30

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d1.00pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 6701d 6h.

Time to resolve6701d 6h

Resolution sourcemanual-review

Sum of outcomes100.0%