← Explore · Market KXNEXTISRAELPM-45JAN01-IBEN

Will Itamar Ben-Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

3.8% implied · bid 2.0¢ · ask 5.5¢

The market prices this at 2.7%, up 1.2pt over 24h, on a 3.5¢ spread.

Implied probability2.7%

Bid / ask / mid2.0¢ / 5.5¢ / 3.8¢

Spread3.5¢ (93.3%)

Change 24h+1.25pt

Change 7d+1.25pt

Thin (score 33/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$1,766

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$23 / $28

Imbalance1% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score32.5 / 100

RSI 55 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.2σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.15

RSI (14, hourly)55.1

Realized vol 7d1.40pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 6694d 6h.

Time to resolve6694d 6h

Resolution sourcemanual-review

Sum of outcomes100.0%