← Explore · Market KXNEXTISRAELPM-45JAN01-IKAT

Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

5.5% implied · bid 2.0¢ · ask 9.0¢

The market prices this at 9.0%, up 0.1pt over 24h, on a 7.0¢ spread.

Implied probability9.0%

Bid / ask / mid2.0¢ / 9.0¢ / 5.5¢

Spread7.0¢ (127.3%)

Change 24h+0.05pt

Change 7d-1.00pt

Thin (score 15/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$36 / $45

Imbalance1% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score15.0 / 100

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.1σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean2.05

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d2.29pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 6694d 7h.

Time to resolve6694d 7h

Resolution sourcemanual-review

Sum of outcomes100.0%