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← Explore · Market KXNEXTISRAELPM-45JAN01-NBEN

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

10.2% implied · bid 6.4¢ · ask 14.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 14.0%, down 0.1pt over 24h, on a 7.6¢ spread.

Implied probability14.0%
Bid / ask / mid6.4¢ / 14.0¢ / 10.2¢
Spread7.6¢ (74.5%)
Change 24h-0.10pt
Change 7d-0.30pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 12/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$32 / $70
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score12.1 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 62 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.1σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.14
RSI (14, hourly)61.9
Realized vol 7d3.30pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 6694d 7h.

Time to resolve6694d 7h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth