← Explore · Market KXNEXTISRAELPM-45JAN01-NBEN
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
10.2% implied · bid 6.4¢ · ask 14.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 14.0%, down 0.1pt over 24h, on a 7.6¢ spread.
Implied probability14.0%
Bid / ask / mid6.4¢ / 14.0¢ / 10.2¢
Spread7.6¢ (74.5%)
Change 24h-0.10pt
Change 7d-0.30pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 12/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$32 / $70
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score12.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 62 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.1σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.14
RSI (14, hourly)61.9
Realized vol 7d3.30pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 6694d 7h.
Time to resolve6694d 7h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%