← Explore · Market KXNEXTNATOSECGEN-99-ASTU

Will Alexander Stubb be the next Secretary General of NATO?

17.0% implied · bid 16.0¢ · ask 18.0¢

The market prices this at 17.0%, up 6.0pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.

Implied probability17.0%

Bid / ask / mid16.0¢ / 18.0¢ / 17.0¢

Spread2.0¢ (11.8%)

Change 24h+6.00pt

Change 7d+4.50pt

Moderately liquid (score 40/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$1

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$31 / $36

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score40.0 / 100

RSI 70 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.0σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.98

RSI (14, hourly)69.6

Realized vol 7d3.07pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 26424d 6h.

Time to resolve26424d 6h

Resolution sourcemanual-review

Sum of outcomes100.0%