← Explore · Market KXNEXTNATOSECGEN-99-KIOH

Will Klaus Iohannis be the next Secretary General of NATO?

9.5% implied · bid 7.0¢ · ask 12.0¢

The market prices this at 29.0%, up 0.5pt over 24h, on a 5.0¢ spread.

Implied probability29.0%

Bid / ask / mid7.0¢ / 12.0¢ / 9.5¢

Spread5.0¢ (52.6%)

Change 24h+0.50pt

Change 7d-1.50pt

Thin (score 25/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$14 / $28

Imbalance1% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score25.0 / 100

RSI 36 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.4σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.36

RSI (14, hourly)35.7

Realized vol 7d8.70pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 26424d 7h.

Time to resolve26424d 7h

Resolution sourcemanual-review

Sum of outcomes100.0%