← Explore · Market KXNEXTNATOSECGEN-99-KSTA
Will Keir Starmer be the next Secretary General of NATO?
20.0% implied · bid 17.0¢ · ask 23.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 18.0%, down 16.0pt over 24h, on a 6.0¢ spread.
Implied probability18.0%
Bid / ask / mid17.0¢ / 23.0¢ / 20.0¢
Spread6.0¢ (30.0%)
Change 24h-16.00pt
Change 7d+8.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 20/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 3% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$33 / $49
Imbalance3% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score20.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 56 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.1σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.06
RSI (14, hourly)55.8
Realized vol 7d10.80pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 26424d 6h.
Time to resolve26424d 6h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%