← Explore · Market KXNEXTNATOSECGEN-99-PPAV

Will Petr Pavel be the next Secretary General of NATO?

8.0% implied · bid 5.0¢ · ask 11.0¢

The market prices this at 29.0%, down 2.5pt over 24h, on a 6.0¢ spread.

Implied probability29.0%

Bid / ask / mid5.0¢ / 11.0¢ / 8.0¢

Spread6.0¢ (75.0%)

Change 24h-2.50pt

Change 7d-2.50pt

Thin (score 20/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$8 / $26

Imbalance1% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score20.0 / 100

RSI 36 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.9σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.91

RSI (14, hourly)35.7

Realized vol 7d7.86pt

Change 1h+0.50pt

Resolves in 26424d 7h.

Time to resolve26424d 7h

Resolution sourcemanual-review

Sum of outcomes100.0%