← Explore · Market KXNEXTROMANIAPM-45JAN01-ANAZ

Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

46.0% implied · bid 42.0¢ · ask 50.0¢

The market prices this at 50.0%, down 0.5pt over 24h, on a 8.0¢ spread.

Implied probability50.0%

Bid / ask / mid42.0¢ / 50.0¢ / 46.0¢

Spread8.0¢ (17.4%)

Change 24h-0.50pt

Change 7d+9.50pt

Thin (score 10/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 28% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$11

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$84 / $102

Imbalance28% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score10.1 / 100

RSI 54 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.1σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.06

RSI (14, hourly)53.8

Realized vol 7d4.60pt

Change 1h+4.00pt

Resolves in 6694d 7h.

Time to resolve6694d 7h

Resolution sourcemanual-review

Sum of outcomes100.0%