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← Explore · Market KXNEXTROMANIAPM-45JAN01-DCIO

Will Dacian Cioloș be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

3.0% implied · bid 0.0¢ · ask 6.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 7.0%, down 9.0pt over 24h, on a 6.0¢ spread.

Implied probability7.0%
Bid / ask / mid0.0¢ / 6.0¢ / 3.0¢
Spread6.0¢ (200.0%)
Change 24h-9.00pt
Change 7d+1.50pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 20/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $12
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score20.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 51 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.1σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.14
RSI (14, hourly)51.2
Realized vol 7d6.37pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 6694d 7h.

Time to resolve6694d 7h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth