← Explore · Market KXNEXTROMANIAPM-45JAN01-SGRI

Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

12.5% implied · bid 9.0¢ · ask 16.0¢

The market prices this at 9.0%, down 19.0pt over 24h, on a 7.0¢ spread.

Implied probability9.0%

Bid / ask / mid9.0¢ / 16.0¢ / 12.5¢

Spread7.0¢ (56.0%)

Change 24h-19.00pt

Change 7d-4.50pt

Thin (score 15/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 2% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$19 / $40

Imbalance2% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score15.0 / 100

RSI 13 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.6σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.55

RSI (14, hourly)13.5

Realized vol 7d2.85pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 6694d 7h.

Time to resolve6694d 7h

Resolution sourcemanual-review

Sum of outcomes100.0%