← Explore · Market KXNEXTSECARMY-30JAN01-ATEL

Will Adam Telle be the next Secretary of the Army before Jan 1, 2030?

40.5% implied · bid 3.0¢ · ask 78.0¢

The market prices this at 49.0%, up 44.0pt over 24h, on a 75.0¢ spread.

Implied probability49.0%

Bid / ask / mid3.0¢ / 78.0¢ / 40.5¢

Spread75.0¢ (185.2%)

Change 24h+44.00pt

Change 7dn/a

Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$2,874

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score0.0 / 100

RSI 73 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.2σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.21

RSI (14, hourly)72.7

Realized vol 7d17.65pt

Change 1h-7.00pt

Resolves in 1222d 7h.

Time to resolve1222d 7h

Resolution sourcemanual-review

Sum of outcomes100.0%