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← Explore · Market KXNEXTSECARMY-30JAN01-BMAS

Will Brian Mast be the next Secretary of the Army before Jan 1, 2030?

9.5% implied · bid 3.0¢ · ask 16.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 5.0%, flat over 24h, on a 13.0¢ spread.

Implied probability5.0%
Bid / ask / mid3.0¢ / 16.0¢ / 9.5¢
Spread13.0¢ (136.8%)
Change 24hn/a
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$232
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score0.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.00
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.00pt
Change 1hn/a

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 1222d 6h.

Time to resolve1222d 6h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

No price history yet.

Probability timeline

No history yet.

Order-book depth