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← Explore · Market KXNEXTSECARMY-30JAN01-DAND

Will Derrick Anderson be the next Secretary of the Army before Jan 1, 2030?

38.5% implied · bid 3.0¢ · ask 74.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 2.0%, flat over 24h, on a 71.0¢ spread.

Implied probability2.0%
Bid / ask / mid3.0¢ / 74.0¢ / 38.5¢
Spread71.0¢ (184.4%)
Change 24hn/a
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$1,177
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score0.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.00
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.00pt
Change 1hn/a

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 1222d 6h.

Time to resolve1222d 6h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

No price history yet.

Probability timeline

No history yet.

Order-book depth