← Explore · Market KXNEXTSECARMY-30JAN01-MAND

Will Marc Andersen be the next Secretary of the Army before Jan 1, 2030?

6.0% implied · bid 2.0¢ · ask 10.0¢

The market prices this at 6.0%, up 0.5pt over 24h, on a 8.0¢ spread.

Implied probability6.0%

Bid / ask / mid2.0¢ / 10.0¢ / 6.0¢

Spread8.0¢ (133.3%)

Change 24h+0.50pt

Change 7dn/a

Thin (score 10/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1 / $3

Imbalance1% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score10.0 / 100

RSI 57 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.1σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.11

RSI (14, hourly)57.1

Realized vol 7d12.43pt

Change 1h+2.00pt

Resolves in 1222d 7h.

Time to resolve1222d 7h

Resolution sourcemanual-review

Sum of outcomes100.0%