← Explore · Market KXNEXTSPEAKER-31-HJEF
Will Hakeem Jeffries be the next Speaker of the House?
83.5% implied · bid 81.0¢ · ask 86.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 81.0%, up 4.0pt over 24h, on a 5.0¢ spread.
Implied probability81.0%
Bid / ask / mid81.0¢ / 86.0¢ / 83.5¢
Spread5.0¢ (6.0%)
Change 24h+4.00pt
Change 7d+1.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 26/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 15% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$151
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$416 / $1,338
Imbalance15% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score25.9 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 62 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.8σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.78
RSI (14, hourly)61.8
Realized vol 7d1.12pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 1580d 7h.
Time to resolve1580d 7h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%