← Explore · Market KXNEXTSPEAKER-31-SSCA

Will Steve Scalise be the next Speaker of the House?

4.0% implied · bid 2.3¢ · ask 5.8¢

The market prices this at 2.3%, up 0.1pt over 24h, on a 3.5¢ spread.

Implied probability2.3%

Bid / ask / mid2.3¢ / 5.8¢ / 4.0¢

Spread3.5¢ (86.4%)

Change 24h+0.10pt

Change 7d+0.10pt

Thin (score 33/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$14 / $96

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score32.6 / 100

RSI 51 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 9.7σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-9.66

RSI (14, hourly)51.3

Realized vol 7d0.18pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 1580d 7h.

Time to resolve1580d 7h

Resolution sourcemanual-review

Sum of outcomes100.0%