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← Explore · Market KXNEXTTRILLIONAIRE-33-MZ

Will Mark Zuckerberg be the world's second trillionaire?

22.5% implied · bid 18.0¢ · ask 27.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 29.0%, up 3.0pt over 24h, on a 9.0¢ spread.

Implied probability29.0%
Bid / ask / mid18.0¢ / 27.0¢ / 22.5¢
Spread9.0¢ (40.0%)
Change 24h+3.00pt
Change 7d-5.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 5/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 16% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1 / $1
Imbalance16% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score5.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 87 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.5σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.48
RSI (14, hourly)87.5
Realized vol 7d1.01pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 2311d 6h.

Time to resolve2311d 6h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth