← Explore · Market KXNEXTUKPRIMEMIN-35JAN01-NFAR
Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2035?
26.5% implied · bid 22.0¢ · ask 31.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 22.0%, flat over 24h, on a 9.0¢ spread.
Implied probability22.0%
Bid / ask / mid22.0¢ / 31.0¢ / 26.5¢
Spread9.0¢ (34.0%)
Change 24hn/a
Change 7dn/a
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 5/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 6% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$44 / $217
Imbalance6% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score5.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.00
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.00pt
Change 1hn/a
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 3048d 6h.
Time to resolve3048d 6h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
No price history yet.
Probability timeline
No history yet.