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← Explore · Market KXNFLRETIRE-JFLACCO16-2728

Will Joe Flacco announce his retirement before the 2027-28 NFL season?

50.0% implied · bid 46.0¢ · ask 54.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 57.0%, up 0.5pt over 24h, on a 8.0¢ spread.

Implied probability57.0%
Bid / ask / mid46.0¢ / 54.0¢ / 50.0¢
Spread8.0¢ (16.0%)
Change 24h+0.50pt
Change 7d+0.50pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 10/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 5% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$47 / $54
Imbalance5% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score10.1 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.4σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean2.43
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d4.61pt
Change 1h+0.50pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 1852d 6h.

Time to resolve1852d 6h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth