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← Explore · Market KXNFLRETIRE-KCOUSINS8-2627

Will Kirk Cousins announce his retirement before the 2026-27 NFL season?

6.5% implied · bid 3.0¢ · ask 10.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 7.0%, down 1.0pt over 24h, on a 7.0¢ spread.

Implied probability7.0%
Bid / ask / mid3.0¢ / 10.0¢ / 6.5¢
Spread7.0¢ (107.7%)
Change 24h-1.00pt
Change 7d+3.50pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 15/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$100
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2 / $30
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score15.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 59 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.9σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.93
RSI (14, hourly)58.8
Realized vol 7d1.73pt
Change 1h+0.50pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 1852d 6h.

Time to resolve1852d 6h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth