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← Explore · Market KXNFLRETIRE-LJOHNSON65-2728

Will Lane Johnson announce his retirement before the 2027-28 NFL season?

69.0% implied · bid 65.0¢ · ask 73.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 78.0%, up 0.5pt over 24h, on a 8.0¢ spread.

Implied probability78.0%
Bid / ask / mid65.0¢ / 73.0¢ / 69.0¢
Spread8.0¢ (11.6%)
Change 24h+0.50pt
Change 7d+0.50pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 10/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 19% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$67 / $73
Imbalance19% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score10.1 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 51 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.3σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean2.34
RSI (14, hourly)50.6
Realized vol 7d3.77pt
Change 1h+0.50pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 1852d 6h.

Time to resolve1852d 6h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth