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← Explore · Market KXNFLRETIRE-LJOHNSON65-2829

Will Lane Johnson announce his retirement before the 2028-29 NFL season?

80.5% implied · bid 80.0¢ · ask 81.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 80.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability80.0%
Bid / ask / mid80.0¢ / 81.0¢ / 80.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.2%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-3.50pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 48% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$93 / $2
Imbalance48% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.1σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.10
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d5.87pt
Change 1h+0.50pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 1852d 6h.

Time to resolve1852d 6h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth