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← Explore · Market KXNFLRETIRE-LJOHNSON65-2930

Will Lane Johnson announce his retirement before the 2029-30 NFL season?

95.0% implied · bid 91.0¢ · ask 99.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 99.0%, up 0.5pt over 24h, on a 8.0¢ spread.

Implied probability99.0%
Bid / ask / mid91.0¢ / 99.0¢ / 95.0¢
Spread8.0¢ (8.4%)
Change 24h+0.50pt
Change 7d+0.50pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 10/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 64% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$95 / $146
Imbalance64% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score10.1 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.7σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.66
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d9.13pt
Change 1h+0.50pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 1852d 6h.

Time to resolve1852d 6h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth