← Explore · Market KXNFLRETIRE-MSTAFFORD9-2930
Will Matthew Stafford announce his retirement before the 2029-30 NFL season?
42.5% implied · bid 2.0¢ · ask 83.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 72.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 81.0¢ spread.
Implied probability72.0%
Bid / ask / mid2.0¢ / 83.0¢ / 42.5¢
Spread81.0¢ (190.6%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+0.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 2% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance2% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score0.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 11 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 103.1σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean103.06
RSI (14, hourly)10.9
Realized vol 7d0.58pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 1852d 5h.
Time to resolve1852d 5h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%