← Explore · Market KXNOMGDPGROWTH-31JAN28-T0.5
Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2030 be above 0.5%?
93.0% implied · bid 88.0¢ · ask 98.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 84.0%, up 43.0pt over 24h, on a 10.0¢ spread.
Implied probability84.0%
Bid / ask / mid88.0¢ / 98.0¢ / 93.0¢
Spread10.0¢ (10.8%)
Change 24h+43.00pt
Change 7d+0.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 47% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$440 / $490
Imbalance47% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score0.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 67 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.3σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.29
RSI (14, hourly)66.7
Realized vol 7d22.98pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 1614d 6h.
Time to resolve1614d 6h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%