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← Explore · Market KXNOMGDPGROWTH-31JAN28-T1.5

Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2030 be above 1.5%?

86.0% implied · bid 81.0¢ · ask 91.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 86.0%, up 36.0pt over 24h, on a 10.0¢ spread.

Implied probability86.0%
Bid / ask / mid81.0¢ / 91.0¢ / 86.0¢
Spread10.0¢ (11.6%)
Change 24h+36.00pt
Change 7d+0.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 47% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$405 / $455
Imbalance47% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score0.4 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 67 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.3σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.33
RSI (14, hourly)66.7
Realized vol 7d19.24pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 1614d 6h.

Time to resolve1614d 6h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth