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← Explore · Market KXOAIANTH-40-ANTH

Will Open AI or Anthropic IPO first?

93.5% implied · bid 93.0¢ · ask 94.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 94.0%, up 2.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability94.0%
Bid / ask / mid93.0¢ / 94.0¢ / 93.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.1%)
Change 24h+2.50pt
Change 7d+1.50pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 37% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$1,162
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$818 / $1,914
Imbalance37% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score46.4 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 58 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.8σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.84
RSI (14, hourly)57.6
Realized vol 7d1.20pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 4867d 7h.

Time to resolve4867d 7h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth